Monday, August 20, 2007

a small prognosis

Well , this is ajay. This is no excerpt from any article or journal, its the discussion of the present urban scenarioor rather the urban prognosis. With the IT boom, industrialisation,clustering of educational institutions and ofcourse lucrative careers offered by the urban india are drawing the rural india to the cities and it is envisaged that nearly 40% of the urban population would live in citiesby 2017.Even right now we are encountering the problem of traffic congestion, water and sanitation problems blah blah blah..which apparently would show some adverse effects on the next generations, for example: the traffic congestion results in increase in travel time which indeed represents excessive usage of fuel which in turn results in the depletion of the resources and the similar things with the water and sanitation etc. , though the govt. is really trying to solve the problem by developing tier 2 cities etc .,most of the industries are really reluctant to adopt to the suggested habitat, may be because of the transportation facilities and its brethren. In a word we could say that government is on a wild goose chase . But i think development of SEZ's with the residential quarters for its employees is a very good step in terms of the urbanisation issue apart from the obvious economic positive outcomes.I think its time for the strategy players to play the role in facing the crisis, they some how got to show that the further influx of either industries or the population into the cities is goint to create a real mayhem either by creating the artificial local inflation or the similar steps. Before we go for these startegies , it better we do a little goal programming as such priortising the constraints, goalsand trying to optimize them.I firmly belive that if the government approaches some good consultancy before giving their permits , making policies etc we're going to see some pleasant outcomes. Infact our stock exchange has hired Meryll lynch to do their risk analysis and accounting then why not the government hire one than just making policies and giving permits to the industry holders in an obsequious manner without foreseeing all the ramifications.

5 comments:

Srikanth-LOLA-Viswanathan said...

This is Srikanth "The other" . well, you contradict your statement that this one is a no excerpt by giving the stats..kidding[:)]. Well, this one is a noble thought that the government should focus on..i completely agree with you on this point. "development of SEZ's with the residential quarters for its employees is a very good step in terms of the urbanisation issue"...basically SEZ's are industrial townships whereas the earlier EPZ's is indutrial estate...
the upbringing of townships is the call of the hour...

debopam said...

I very much agree with Ajay and Srikant. The SEZ model can only work (for the country not for the developer alone), if holistic developement is the aim. What we now see in name of SEZ is industrial parks at suburbs, where the main aim of the developer is to exploit the demand in real estate. for the purpose of SEZ, ie boost in manufacturing, to be served, we need large greenfield SEZ, if not the size of the Chinese ones, atleast 1000 hectare ones, completely self sufficient in terms of infrastructure and ammenities which would act as new cities and hence reduce the load to some extent from our metros which are on the verge of population explosion. But for this, at the risk of typecasting, I feel we need large corporates with vision, like Tata, L&T etc should get into this sector rather than the single bottom line real estate companies.
I would like to finish mentioning Jamshedpur, a wonderful city which developed around a steel plant, promoted and managed entirely by a private company.

Mash said...

Srikanth and Debopam pick up on an excellent point - but Ajay, I must say that what you recommend is rather vague at this stage. Will the problem be solved by just giving it to a consultant - if so the government can tie up with PwC or IDFC or several other firms (which they are already doing). What kind of concrete steps do you think should be suggested or taken here?

Unknown said...

yes sir, actually i mentioned that the development SEZ's would be a a step to face the problem .I think in few issues only consultants could solve the problem for example traffic congestion, we cant keep on expanding the roads to meet the burgeoning traffic requirements, we could probably overcome the problem by suggesting alternate paths or developing the unused roads,allotting different slots of the day for different industries to open and close their day so that we could have multiple reduced and less congested peak hours on the roads which might facilitate a better flow of the traffic etc. for which we need concrete network analysts and mathematicians.And in other cases i agree with you , without implementation there's no meaning for a plan they just become the floydian lyrics "plans that either come to naught,just a half a page of scribbled lines".

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